A Model for Predicting Recovery Progress of Coronary Patients

AUTOR(ES)
RESUMO

A method is described by which demand for nursing services may be predicted by analysis of information already existing in the hospital's information system. A Markoff predictive model was constructed, using the various stages in the recovery process of coronary patients; future short-term demand can be estimated from this model without the intervention of time-consuming and subjective judgments by medical or nursing staff. The method is applicable to the prediction of demand for other hospital resources related to the patient's recovery progress and has potentials for use in units of progressive patient care programs and in concurrent utilization reviews.

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