Sales Forecast
Mostrando 1-12 de 14 artigos, teses e dissertações.
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1. Análise e proposta de melhoria do processo de previsão de demanda em uma pequena empresa do setor de cosméticos
Nowadays, even small-sized enterprises are investing in integrated management systems, called ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning), as a way to solve planning problems and to better control their cash flow. However, these enterprises end up neglecting one of the main inputs to improve the PPC (Production Planning and Control): the demand forecast. Thus, planni
IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Publicado em: 06/07/2011
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2. Proposal for a strategic planning for the replacement of products in stores based on sales forecast
This paper presents a proposal for strategic planning for the replacement of products in stores of a supermarket network. A quantitative method for forecasting time series is used for this, the Artificial Radial Basis Neural Networks (RBFs), and also a qualitative method to interpret the forecasting results and establish limits for each product stock for eac
Pesquisa Operacional. Publicado em: 2011-08
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3. Método para a criação de um processo de previsão da demanda de vendas / Method for designing a sales demand forecast process
Tendo em vista o cenário moderno globalizado, onde as organizações buscam um planejamento mais adequado de suas operações, torna-se importante realizar uma previsão da demanda dos produtos acabados, ou simplesmente demanda de vendas, que se aproxime dos números reais o máximo possível. Este trabalho tem como objetivo a proposição de um método par
IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Publicado em: 09/11/2009
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4. Performance and determinants of ICMS in the state of Ceará Fortaleza 2009 / Desempenho e fatores determinantes da arrecadação do ICMS no estado do Ceará Fortaleza 2009
The Tax on Goods and Services and Commodities (ICMS) is the main source of tax revenues of States, particularly in Ceará represents more than 90% of its revenues. Despite the strong growth of ICMS in the northeast region, Ceará presented results well below the others. In this scenario, this study presents a brief history and characteristics of ICMS, it is
Publicado em: 2009
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5. Análise e previsão dos recolhimentos compulsórios sobre recursos à vista / Analysis and Forecast of Reserve Requirements
This dissertation discusses the reserves requirements in Brazil. It analyses and forecasts the top five time series that form these requirements. A VARMAX model with autoregressives lags, moving averages and exogenous variables is used. The interest rate Selic, exchange rate BRL/USD, commerce sales, consumption and income are the exogenous variables. A BEKK
Publicado em: 2008
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6. Um Modelo DinÃmico para IntegraÃÃo da GestÃo da cadeia de abastecimento sob Incerteza
There are many needs of people in operations to nd simple solutions for complex problems. Like all evolution process, the construction of new answers for frequent questions may be hard and dicult to be understood. Considering this idea, the following text was developed focused on improve quality of planning process of capacity needs in a supply chain. First
Publicado em: 2008
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7. Modelo integrado para previsão de vendas como uma ferramenta de competitividade: um estudo de caso em uma empresa do setor têxtil
No ambiente de negócios, o planejamento das atividades organizacionais aliado à previsão de vendas, possibilita a otimização dos recursos envolvidos na empresa. Assim, esta dissertação teve como objetivo adequar modelos de previsão de vendas de forma a auxiliar o gestor na tomada de decisões, proporcionando maior competitividade para a empresa no me
Publicado em: 2008
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8. Time series models applied to forecast analysis of banking credit concessions / Modelos de séries temporais aplicados à análise prospectiva de concessão de crédito bancário
The aim of this study was to model the series of banking credit concessions to individuals, to firms and for rural activities financing, and to generate forecasts about the behavior of that series. The methodology used was the Vector Auto-Regression. The property of co-integration among the variables was considered, and were estimated Vector Auto-Regression
Publicado em: 2007
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9. Mathematical / Statistical and Physical / Meteorological Models for Short-term Prediction of Wind Farms Output
(...)The rapid increase of the wind power penetration in the conventional grids all over the world has been requiring (from electricity companies and wind farm promoters) a special attention to the short-term prediction of wind farms output. Fomented by interest and necessity, companies and promoters are collaborating with universities and other research cen
IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Publicado em: 02/12/2005
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10. Gestão de estoques na cadeia de suprimentos de uma indústria do setor de perfumes e cosméticos : uma interpretação em função de "erros" na previsão de vendas
The objective of this dissertation is to demonstrate the stock cost in the supply chain, caused by sales forecast mistakes, considering delivery lead time, standard production batches and sales batches, demonstrating a business approach in keeping with expended reality of costs and its better control. In the short term, it is very difficult to demonstrate to
Publicado em: 2005
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11. Ferramentas para a analise da disponibilidade e do impacto das informações na gestão da cadeia de suprimentos : um estudo de caso
The creation of collaborative value streams has been considered as an altemative which companies could use to avoid being defeated by competitors. Collaboration s experts claim that a collaborative behavior with business partners based in information sharing brings many benefits, such as: lower inventories, better customer service, lower costs, and others. T
Publicado em: 2004
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12. THE PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL SEGMENTS, COMPOSED OF PUBLICLY TRADED COMPANIES, IN LIGHT OF BRAZILIAN AND WORLD ECONOMIC ACTIVITY LEVEL / O DESEMPENHO DOS SETORES DA INDÚSTRIA NACIONAL, FORMADOS PELAS EMPRESAS DE CAPITAL ABERTO, DIANTE DO NÍVEL DA ATIVIDADE ECONÔMICA DO BRASIL E DO MUNDO
In pursuit of the objective of evaluating the performance of the national industrial segments, composed of publicly traded companies, in light of Brazilian and world economic activity level, the present dissertation attempts to contribute to the development of forecast models intended to aid managers and investors in the decision making process. The relation
Publicado em: 2003